رویکردهای مدل‌سازی سیستم‌های زیرساخت دارای وابستگی متقابل از منظر تاب‌آوری

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 علوم و تحقیقات تهران

2 دانشگاه صنعتی شیراز

3 دانشگاه جامع امام حسین (ع)

چکیده

دردنیای امروزی، استمرار زندگی در جوامع بشری بدون فعالیت مستمر زیرساخت‌های حیاتی امکان‌پذیر نیست. از این رو نحوه بهره‌برداری و حفاظت از زیرساخت‌های حیاتی مورد توجه مطالعات بسیاری قرار گرفته است. یکی از زمینه‌های اصلی در مطالعات زیرساخت‌ها چگونگی مدل‌سازی سیستم‌ها به خصوص با وجود وابستگی‌های بین آن‌هاست. در این مقاله، مروری بر مطالعات اخیر در مورد چگونگی مدل‌سازی سیستم‌های زیرساخت دارای وابستگی متقابل انجام شده است. هدف این مطالعه شناسایی راهکارهای حفاظت بیشتر از سیستم‌ها در برابر اختلالات پیش‌آمده در یک سیستم و جلوگیری از انتشار آن به سیستم‌های دیگر است. یکی از مفاهیم مؤثر در مطالعه اثرات اختلال و قطعی‌های آبشاری، مفهوم تاب‌آوری سیستم است. بهبود تاب‌آوری که نزدیک‌ترین مفهوم به پدافند غیرعامل در حوزه زیرساخت است، می‌تواند درک صحیحی از احتمال استمرار فعالیت زیرساخت‌های وابسته ارائه نماید. بنابراین، در این مقالهی مروری، نحوه مدل‌سازی وابستگی در سیستم‌های زیرساخت با رویکرد تاب‌آوری سیستم در برابر تهدیدات بررسی شده است. در این راستا، انواع رویکردهای مدل‌سازی با دسته‌بندی به پنج گروه تجربی، عامل-محور، دینامیکی، اقتصادی و شبکه‌ای معرفی و بررسی شده‌اند. انتهای مقاله، چالش‌های پیش روی محققین برای انجام مطالعات بیشتر تصویر شده است. موارد ارائه شده می‌تواند راهگشای بسیاری از پیشرفت‌های آتی در زمینه مدل‌سازی زیرساخت‌های وابسته باشد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

A Survey of Modeling Approaches of Interdependent Infrastructures form the Resilience Viewpoint

نویسندگان [English]

  • farid moazzen 2
  • Saeid Zamanian 3
1
2 shiraz university of technology
3 ]mam Hosein Comprehensive University
چکیده [English]

Nowadays, the human life in societies has become impossible without reliable operation of critical infrastructures. Therefore, many studies have focused on their operation and protection. One of the main fields in infrastructural studies is system modeling, especially with regard to interdependency. In this paper, recent studies on the modeling of interdependent infrastructures are reviewed. The purpose is to further protect the systems against disruptive events and to prevent cascading disturbances. One of the most effective and practical concepts in evaluating the impacts of perturbation and cascading interruptions is the concept of system resilience. Resilience, also known in the defense literature as passive defense, can provide a precise understanding of the probability of interdependent infrastructures' functionality. Therefore, in this review paper, interdependency modeling in infrastructure systems is investigated through the approach of system resilience against threats and disruptive events. To this end, various modeling approaches, are categorized into empirical, agent-based, system dynamics, economic, and network-based approaches and studied. Finally, the challenges that the researchers may face in the future studies are pointed out. The description of present challenges can pave the way for significant future developments in the field of interdependent infrastructure system modeling.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Infrastructure Systems
  • Interdependency
  • Modeling
  • Cascading Outages
  • Resilience

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  • تاریخ دریافت: 24 اسفند 1399
  • تاریخ بازنگری: 15 مرداد 1400
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